Modal shift for New Zealand shippers for various policy scenarios

Kim, Hyun-Chan and Nicholson, Alan and Kusumastuti, Diana (2017) Modal shift for New Zealand shippers for various policy scenarios. New Zealand Economic Papers, 51 (2). pp. 1-19. ISSN 0077-9954

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Abstract or Summary

Increasing transport problems caused by high dependency on road transport, has brought us to investigate various policy scenarios to promote a greater use of rail and coastal transport for freight transport in New Zealand. For this, we examined how factors associated with freight transport (e.g. cost and reliability) influenced the transport decisions of shippers with various operation types. Online stated preference surveys were developed and mixed-logit models were estimated from the data provided by 233 shippers. These models were used to calculate the base mode shares, and subsequently, to test various hypothetical policy options for promoting greater use of rail and coastal transport. The results show that a substantial improvement in reliability of both the rail and coastal freight transport services will lead to a substantial decline in the share of road transport, especially for shippers with short-haul and long-haul operations, transporting either large or small shipment volume.

Item Type:Journal article
Keywords that describe the item:Policy scenarios, modal shift, mixed-logit model, stated preference, New Zealand shippers
Subjects:H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
H Social Sciences > HE Transportation and Communications
Divisions:Schools > Centre for Engineering and Industrial Design
ID Code:5441
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Deposited On:30 Aug 2017 04:23
Last Modified:08 May 2018 02:44

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